TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandr Binda and Jia Hu in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Jia Hu. This market will resolve to 'Jia Hu' if Jia Hu advances against Alexandr Binda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandr Binda and Jia Hu in the Ningbo, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 1:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandr Binda' if Alexandr Binda advances against Jia Hu. This market will resolve to 'Jia Hu' if Jia Hu advances against Alexandr Binda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently with new information than traditional markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Binda vs Hu match as reported by the governing sporting body. Any disputes or ambiguities will be addressed by referencing official sources and established rules for the sport. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches for either Alexandr Binda or Jia Hu could shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about match conditions, such as weather forecasts or venue changes, might also play a role. Additionally, large volume trades from influential participants could indicate new information or a change in overall market perception, potentially causing a rapid price adjustment in this market.