TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:50 PM EST
Kalshi
Fans and analysts will be keen to see if the bout between Niko Price and Leon Shahbazyan ends before its anticipated full course. A swift conclusion would mark the fight as particularly action-packed or strategically decisive, altering post-fight discussions and fighter legacies.
If the Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 ends before round 2, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 ends before round 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices respond to new information. Currently, the most active contracts relate to the round in which the fight will end, with prices indicating the perceived likelihood of a finish in each round.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the fight between Niko Price and Leon Shahbazyan, specifically the round in which the fight concludes. The outcome will be determined by the official fight result as reported by a recognized and authoritative source for MMA events. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the Price vs Shahbazyan finish market before it resolves. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected information about fighter weight or physical condition leading up to the bout could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception or analysis from MMA experts could drive trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Any significant development related to either fighter is likely to be reflected in the market price.