TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:24 PM EST
Kalshi
The method by which either fighter claims victory in the Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan match will be a focal point for combat sports enthusiasts. Whether through strikes, grappling, or judges' scorecards, each path to victory reflects different aspects of the fighters' skills and strategies.
If Niko Price wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Niko Price wins by Submission during the Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Niko Price wins by Decision during the Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Leon Shahbazyan wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Leon Shahbazyan wins by Submission during the Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Leon Shahbazyan wins by Decision during the Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Niko Price and Leon Shahbazyan fight ends in a draw or no contest during the Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share in a particular outcome, and these prices fluctuate based on supply and demand. The market’s depth and volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in each potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded method of victory in the Price vs Shahbazyan fight, as determined by the relevant sanctioning bodies and fight records. The specific method of victory – knockout, technical knockout, submission, decision, or draw/no contest – will be the determining factor for settlement. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results are officially available.
Several factors could influence this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight or health status would likely have a significant impact. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight predictions could also move the market. Public betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also influence trading activity on Kalshi, as traders often consider broader market perceptions when making their decisions.