TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:25 PM EST
Kalshi
Whether the fight concludes via strikes, grappling, judges' scores, or an unexpected draw will shape the narrative surrounding Niko Price against Leon Shahbazyan. Each method of finish brings its own significance to the sport and the fighters' careers.
If either competitor wins by KO/TKO/DQ during the Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If either competitor wins by Submission during the Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If either competitor wins by Decision during the Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the result is Draw/No Contest during the Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely finishing method. The current volume indicates active trading and a degree of uncertainty surrounding the fight’s conclusion.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded method of finish for the Niko Price versus Leon Shahbazyan fight. This includes outcomes like knockout, technical knockout, submission, or decision, as well as the possibility of a draw or no contest. The official result will determine which contracts pay out and at what value, as defined by the market structure on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention and impact volume. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews could sway opinions on the most probable finishing method. A significant shift in public perception, even without concrete news, could also lead to noticeable movements in the odds for this market.