TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Nijmegen and Sittard. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, reflecting the offensive performance of both teams during regular time.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Nijmegen vs Sittard Eredivisie match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified half-goal increment (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. All markets are independent, with each threshold representing a distinct condition for resolution. The governing rules emphasize that the resolution is based solely on the official match result as recorded by the league, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and perceived biases, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market tends to adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading volume occurs, as the market efficiently incorporates new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange contracts, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving collective assessment of the match's likely outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and reflects the most up-to-date predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Nijmegen vs Sittard match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the match concludes and the official statistics are released.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Nijmegen or Sittard would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical approaches could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public discussion or analysis of the match’s likely outcome could influence trading activity and, consequently, the prices in this market.