TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Nijmegen and Sittard, focusing specifically on the result after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether a particular team will secure a victory during regular time. The market design accounts for potential match disruptions by including provisions for fair resolution if the game is significantly altered or postponed.
The event determines the winner of the Nijmegen vs Sittard professional Eredivisie soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Nijmegen win, Sittard win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within the defined timeframe, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In cases where the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing perceptions about the likelihood of each result in the Nijmegen vs Sittard match. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nijmegen vs Sittard match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Nijmegen, a win for Sittard, or a draw—actually occurred during the scheduled match. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final, official result of the game.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Nijmegen or Sittard would likely impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on weather conditions, which could affect the style of play, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could shift market sentiment. Finally, large-volume trades from individual participants on Kalshi can also cause noticeable price fluctuations, reflecting a strong conviction about a particular outcome.