TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Nijmegen and Levski Sofia. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match is part of the Europa League and follows standard competitive rules.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored during the Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia Europa League match scheduled for October 15, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified half-goal increment (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). All resolutions are based solely on goals scored within the 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. The governing league’s official score will determine the outcome, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by actual money on the line. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially when new information emerges. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, specific total goal ranges for the Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The closer to the event, the more the price will converge towards 100, representing a 100% probability of that outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently reflects available information.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia match – will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets. The platform will verify the result against official sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Nijmegen or Levski Sofia would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected number of goals. Unexpected tactical changes announced by either team’s manager could shift expectations. Finally, even general shifts in public sentiment or late-breaking news related to team form could impact trading activity and move the market price before Oct 15, 2026.