TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market addresses the Europa League match between Nijmegen and Levski Sofia, assessing whether each team manages to score at least one goal during the regular period of play. The outcome is decided based on goals scored within the 90 minutes and any additional stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty phases.
If Nijmegen and Levski Sofia both score a goal in the Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia Europa League match originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there's value, or where the sportsbook may be mispricing the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Nijmegen and Levski Sofia score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final score will be the determining factor for settling this market, and all trades will be finalized based on this outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Nijmegen or Levski Sofia would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the style of play, could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators and updated team lineups released closer to kickoff could all contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.