TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Levski Sofia will win a professional Europa League soccer game against Nijmegen after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Levski Sofia a 55.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 30.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia match as determined by the game’s outcome, and does not include extra time or penalties. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 15, 2026, as that date represents the end of the betting period and the definitive resolution of this market.
The event covers a professional Europa League soccer match between Nijmegen and Levski Sofia scheduled for October 15, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Nijmegen, a win for Levski Sofia, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome, though it’s important to remember both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a fair and efficient market for predicting the result.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The final score and any official rulings will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the confirmed result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected shifts in team form could all impact trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they significantly favor one team's playing style, could also be a catalyst. Finally, even public opinion and betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks can sometimes influence activity in this market, as traders react to broader market trends and information.