TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:18h:19m
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In the upcoming college football game between Nicholls State and Incarnate Word, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Nicholls State" if Nicholls State win the game. This market will resolve to "Incarnate Word" if Incarnate Word win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Nicholls State and Incarnate Word, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Nicholls State" if Nicholls State win the game. This market will resolve to "Incarnate Word" if Incarnate Word win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution is based on the winner of the Nicholls St. vs Incarnate Word college football game set for November 14, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market stays open and resolves per the official result. Cancellations or starts beyond 48 hours result in a fair price. Kalshi states no affiliation with the NCAA, and trademarks remain with their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading fees, market maker strategies, and liquidity also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific market structures on each platform – for example, the types of contracts offered – can influence how traders assess probabilities. The differing top markets on each platform, Spread: Nicholls State (-14.5) and Incarnate Word wins, demonstrate this variance in current sentiment. These differences are normal and contribute to the overall price discovery process.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Nicholls State vs. Incarnate Word game as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market data, and winning positions will be settled accordingly. The market's resolution is designed to be transparent and based on objective evidence.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 14, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could shift predictions. Weather conditions on game day could also influence the outcome and, consequently, the market price. Public sentiment and media coverage can also play a role, as they can affect the overall perception of each team's chances. Monitoring these factors can help you understand potential shifts in this market.