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Nicholls Colonels vs. Iowa State Cyclones (W)
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Nicholls Colonels vs. Iowa State Cyclones?

Total volume:
$1
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$31
0%
Open interest:
$1
0%

Iowa St.

 - Kalshi

Iowa St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:21h:59m

Iowa St. wins

40%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 88¢ buys you 114 shares | Odds: 40% Total Payout: $114 | Net Profit: $14 Multiplier: 1.14x | ROI: 14% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Iowa St.

Trade
40%
Yes 88¢No 48¢
36¢
N/A
$1
0%
N/A
$1
2d 21h 59m
Active
polymarket

Nicholls Colonels vs. Iowa State Cyclones (W)

Trade
50%
Yes 98¢No 99¢
97¢
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 59m
Active
kalshi

Nicholls St.

Trade
N/A
N/A
38¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 21h 59m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Nicholls Colonels and Iowa State Cyclones, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for cancellation or abandonment.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves to 'Yes' regardless of which team wins, creating a logical inconsistency. Polymarket focuses on a definitive outcome.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket as Kalshi's logic is flawed. Monitor for game cancellation or abandonment, as Polymarket has a 50-50 resolution in those cases.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on a definitive game outcome determined by listed sources before abandonment, or 50-50 if canceled/abandoned. "If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins, regardless of which one. "If Iowa St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicholls St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming CWBB game between Nicholls Colonels and Iowa State Cyclones, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the game. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours, both markets resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts from multiple prediction markets, specifically Polymarket and Kalshi, concerning the outcome of the Nicholls vs. Iowa State game. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a close contest. The total volume traded across all markets is $1, with $1 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see a combined probability assessment, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd. The dashboard provides a unified view of the probabilities and trading activity for this event, helping to understand where the market currently stands.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while prediction markets reflect the collective belief of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at incorporating new information and potentially offering more accurate probabilities. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, providing a useful benchmark for comparison against this market’s implied probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to variations in user base, market design, and trading volume. Polymarket currently favors Iowa St. wins at 49.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Nicholls Colonels vs. Iowa State Cyclones (W) at 40.0%. Different traders may have access to different information or interpret the same information differently, leading to varying probabilities. Additionally, the liquidity and trading activity on each platform can influence price discovery, causing temporary discrepancies. These differences highlight the value of aggregating information across multiple markets.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the Nicholls vs. Iowa State game, as reported by official sources. Traders will be able to see the final result and how it aligns with their predictions once the event concludes. The total volume traded in this market is currently $1.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected by media coverage and social media discussions, can also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could also affect confidence in their respective chances. Finally, significant bets placed on either side of this market could create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probability.