TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event examines the Nice versus Strasbourg Alsace Ligue 1 encounter to see if both sides score at least one goal in normal match time. The resolution hinges on whether each team registers a goal during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with own goals counted for the team they are awarded to.
If Nice and Strasbourg Alsace both score a goal in the Nice vs Strasbourg Alsace Ligue 1 match originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often leading to probabilities that are more accurate than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on attracting action on certain outcomes. This market, like others, can sometimes show differences, as sportsbooks adjust lines based on betting patterns and perceived risk, while prediction markets evolve based on informed speculation and analysis. However, it’s important to remember that both represent estimations of the same underlying event’s likelihood.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Nice vs Strasbourg match. The price of a contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The closer the match gets, the more the price will likely converge towards a value reflecting the perceived certainty of the event.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Nice and Strasbourg score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and the market will settle accordingly. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Nice or Strasbourg would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift expectations. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis suggesting a change in attacking strategy could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring will likely cause fluctuations in trading activity and price adjustments.