TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:31 AM EST
Kalshi
The market evaluates whether the upcoming soccer match between Nicaragua and the Dominican Republic will see a high number of goals scored within regular time.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer game scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5), meaning at least 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6 goals respectively must be scored. The markets are independent assessments of scoring volume and are not endorsed by CONCACAF.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the potential result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect changing expectations about the Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic match. The market depth shows how many contracts are available at different price points.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic match are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer authorities. The final score will be used to determine which contracts pay out, and the payout amount will depend on the price of the contract at the time of resolution. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Nicaragua or Dominican Republic teams would likely have an impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly affect the game, could also shift the market. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence trading activity and move the market.