TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:53 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game between Nicaragua and Dominican Republic, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nicaragua" if Nicaragua score more goals than Dominican Republic in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Nicaragua and Dominican Republic score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Dominican Republic" if Dominican Republic score more goals than Nicaragua in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game between Nicaragua and Dominican Republic, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nicaragua" if Nicaragua score more goals than Dominican Republic in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Nicaragua and Dominican Republic score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Dominican Republic" if Dominican Republic score more goals than Nicaragua in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in Nicaragua winning the second half, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure on Nicaragua shares lowers the price and probability. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team—Nicaragua or Dominican Republic—wins the second half of the match. Official results from the sporting event will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand potential catalysts.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to team lineups for either Nicaragua or Dominican Republic would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions during the match could also impact the game and shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, in-game events during the first half, such as early goals or red cards, could significantly alter the perceived probabilities and lead to price fluctuations. Major shifts in public opinion, even outside of direct sports news, can also influence trading activity in this market.