TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:26 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two national teams competing in an international soccer tournament, with the outcome determined by their performance during the regular playing time, including any added stoppage time. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score during this period. This contest is part of a broader league that helps determine qualifications and rankings for future tournaments.
If Nicaragua and Dominican Republic both score a goal in the Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic CONCACAF Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. As more information becomes available—such as team news or weather forecasts—both prediction market prices and sportsbook odds will adjust. However, prediction markets often become more accurate closer to the event, potentially offering a more refined probability assessment than traditional betting venues. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'BTTS' occurring in the Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more traders believe 'BTTS' is likely, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, providing insight into potential price movements. The goal is to accurately reflect the collective belief of traders regarding the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both teams score at least one goal during the standard 90 minutes of play, plus any added injury time. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of determining the outcome of this market. The final result will be sourced from official match data and widely available sports news outlets.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Nicaragua or the Dominican Republic would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the playing style of either team, could also move the market. Unexpected tactical announcements from the coaches, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or social media, could contribute to price fluctuations before Oct 5, 2026.