TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Newport County AFC and York City FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Newport County AFC" if Newport County AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "York City FC" if York City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Newport County AFC and York City FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Newport County AFC" if Newport County AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "York City FC" if York City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can create discrepancies between the two. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information or changing sentiment regarding the Newport County vs. York City match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating, and the volume indicates the level of interest and conviction behind each prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures the odds continuously adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team—Newport County AFC or York City FC—scores the first goal in the match. The result will be determined by official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome, as determined by the official match records.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or social media discussions about the Newport County vs. York City match, might prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their predictions.