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$245,801,863
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2,984,028,936
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$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
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4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
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Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:28 PM EST
Kalshi
Two prominent Argentine soccer clubs, Newell's Old Boys and Union Santa Fe, will face off in a professional match. The result will be decided based on which team wins within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The market resolves based on the result of the Newell's Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. A win for Newell's Old Boys within 90 minutes plus stoppage time resolves the 'Newell's Old Boys' market to Yes. A win for Union Santa Fe within the same time frame resolves the 'Union Santa Fe' market to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting patterns, prediction markets continuously update based on every trade made.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Newell's Old Boys versus Union Santa Fe match, as reported by a recognized sports news source. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results are officially confirmed.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Newell's Old Boys or Union Santa Fe would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day and any pre-match tactical announcements from the managers could influence trading activity. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.