TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 7:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Newell's Old Boys will win their professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game against Central Cordoba. Currently, Kalshi gives Newell's Old Boys a 93.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 7.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the match as reported by official sources, specifically if Newell's Old Boys wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep a close watch on the match itself, as the market resolves following the completion of the game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, with a resolution date estimate of 2026-10-20.
The event involves determining the winner of a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between Newell's Old Boys and Central Cordoba, scheduled for October 19, 2026. Three distinct markets are defined: one for each team winning within the regulation time, and one for a tie. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the respective outcome if that specific condition is met after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The resolution strictly considers the result within regulation time, and the platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its trademarks.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply the unique dynamics of each venue. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by a sportsbook, it could indicate an opportunity for value, depending on your own assessment of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Newell's Old Boys vs Central Cordoba match, as reported by a recognized sports news source. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Newell's Old Boys, a win for Central Cordoba, or a draw—actually occurred during the scheduled match. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment can all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market is evolving and potentially identifying trading opportunities.