TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a soccer match between two teams competing in a league. The focus is on whether both teams will score during the regular time of the game, including any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Newcastle and Wellington both score a goal in the Newcastle vs Wellington Australia A League match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the event’s outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook odds are inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Newcastle vs Wellington match and the probability of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Newcastle vs Wellington match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of this possibility. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if both teams score during the game.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Newcastle and Wellington score at least one goal each during the scheduled match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and the market will settle accordingly. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Newcastle or Wellington would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis suggesting a change in scoring potential could also shift the odds. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of both teams scoring will likely be reflected in the price of this market.