TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:40 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Newcastle United Jets and Gamba Osaka, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Newcastle United Jets" if Newcastle United Jets are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gamba Osaka" if Gamba Osaka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Newcastle United Jets and Gamba Osaka, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Newcastle United Jets" if Newcastle United Jets are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gamba Osaka" if Gamba Osaka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information and analysis from a diverse range of participants. This can sometimes lead to differences compared to sportsbook odds, which are typically set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may emphasize factors like team reputation or public betting patterns, while this market is driven by traders actively expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing circumstances than traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a team will score first, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time reflection of expectations for the match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team—Newcastle United Jets or Gamba Osaka—scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved using standard sporting rules and widely accepted sources of information regarding the game's events.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for key offensive players on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also affect traders' perceptions. Unexpected announcements about team lineups shortly before the match, or even pre-game analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to movement in this market. The closer we get to Oct 13, 2026, the more sensitive the market will be to new information.