TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:06 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Newcastle United Jets FC and Macarthur FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Newcastle United Jets FC" if Newcastle United Jets FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Macarthur FC" if Macarthur FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Newcastle United Jets FC and Macarthur FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Newcastle United Jets FC" if Newcastle United Jets FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Macarthur FC" if Macarthur FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. These differences can create opportunities for value betting, as discrepancies may indicate where the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability. It’s important to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to make informed decisions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Newcastle United Jets FC or Macarthur FC will score first. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each team’s ability to score first, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the game’s potential opening moments.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the match between Newcastle United Jets FC and Macarthur FC. If no goal is scored, the market will resolve as 'No Goal'. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the first goalscorer, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Newcastle United Jets FC or Macarthur FC would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected pre-match analysis from respected football commentators could also move the market. Any information that alters perceptions of each team’s scoring potential will be reflected in the price action on Polymarket.