TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a Premier League soccer match between Newcastle United and Aston Villa. Users are betting on whether Newcastle, Aston Villa, or a draw will occur specifically within the second half of the game, including any added stoppage time.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Newcastle United FC and Aston Villa FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC" if Newcastle United FC score more goals than Aston Villa FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Newcastle United FC and Aston Villa FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC" if Aston Villa FC score more goals than Newcastle United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Newcastle United FC and Aston Villa FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC" if Newcastle United FC score more goals than Aston Villa FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Newcastle United FC and Aston Villa FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC" if Aston Villa FC score more goals than Newcastle United FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different markets or have different margins built into their odds. Comparing the two can reveal discrepancies and potentially identify value opportunities for informed bettors.
Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict for the Newcastle vs. Aston Villa second half can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a unique user base with varying risk appetites and information access, which influences their trading decisions. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can differ significantly, impacting price discovery. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also contribute to these discrepancies. Finally, differing interpretations of available information about team form, injuries, or tactical approaches may lead to divergent opinions reflected in the prices.