TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:17 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Newcastle United FC and Aston Villa FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC" if Newcastle United FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC" if Aston Villa FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Newcastle United FC and Aston Villa FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC" if Newcastle United FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC" if Aston Villa FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether a specific outcome will occur. As more shares are traded, the price of each share adjusts to reflect the collective probability assigned to that outcome by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome happening. For example, a share priced at 60 means there's a 60% implied probability of that outcome occurring, according to the traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first goal in the second half of the Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC match. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as Oct 17, 2026 approaches to understand potential catalysts that could influence the market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Newcastle United or Aston Villa would likely impact the odds. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or shifts in team form based on recent matches, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football pundits, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors can help you identify potential trading opportunities in this market as it approaches resolution.