TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:24 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Premier League game between Newcastle United FC and Aston Villa FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Newcastle United FC and Aston Villa FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes leading up to the event. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights into where the market finds value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different possible exact scores for the first half of the Newcastle vs. Aston Villa match. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who buy shares in a specific outcome, the higher its price becomes, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of the first half score in the Newcastle vs. Aston Villa match will be used to determine the winning share(s). The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Newcastle or Aston Villa would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also impact trading activity. Even external factors like weather conditions on match day might play a role. Unexpected pre-match analysis or expert opinions could also sway market sentiment, leading to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.