TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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New Zealand Breakers vs. Adelaide 36ers
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of New Zealand Breakers vs. Adelaide 36ers?

Volume:
$360,468

Adelaide 36ers

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 4:21 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Adelaide 36ers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$125,676
N/A
N/A
$82,704
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Adelaide 36ers (-1.5)

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 181.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Zealand Breakers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117,161
N/A
N/A
$76,782
Settled
No
polymarket

New Zealand Breakers vs. Adelaide 36ers

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110,584
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 8h 29m
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This group covers markets on the New Zealand Breakers versus Adelaide 36ers NBL basketball game scheduled for October 30th. Markets include a simple win/loss prediction, a spread, and an over/under on the total points scored. The markets aim to resolve based on the official final score from nbl.com.au.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi references a game scheduled for October 30, 2026, while Polymarket references the game scheduled for October 30, 2024. This creates a significant discrepancy in resolution timing.Hero tip: Focus trading activity on Polymarket, as it reflects the currently scheduled game. Avoid Kalshi markets until the date discrepancy is addressed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 30, 2024, using the official final score from nbl.com.au. "...scheduled for October 30 at 2:30AM ET..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 30, 2026, using the official final score. "...originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 at 2:30 AM EDT..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 30 at 2:30AM ET: If the New Zealand Breakers win, the market will resolve to "New Zealand Breakers". If the Adelaide 36ers win, the market will resolve to "Adelaide 36ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Adelaide 36ers vs New Zealand Breakers men's professional Australia NBL basketball game scheduled for October 30, 2026, at 2:30 AM EDT. Should the game be postponed but begin within 48 hours of the original start time, the market stays open and resolves using the official final outcome. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi holds no affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the likelihood of various outcomes in the NBL championship race, specifically focusing on the New Zealand Breakers versus the Adelaide 36ers. It aggregates data from both platforms to provide a consensus view of the probabilities. Currently, combined volume across both venues is $360,468, and 24-hour volume is $360,447. This allows for a broader understanding of market sentiment than looking at either Polymarket or Kalshi in isolation. The dashboard aims to offer a comprehensive look at where the crowd believes the advantage lies in this competition.

Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms by which they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets rely on the collective wisdom of traders. This market reflects real-time sentiment and can incorporate information faster than sportsbooks. Generally, prediction markets are thought to be more accurate forecasts, especially closer to the event, as they benefit from a diverse range of participants and continuous price discovery. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing due to promotional offers.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the New Zealand Breakers or the Adelaide 36ers would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected team performance in other games, changes in coaching strategies, or even significant media coverage influencing public perception could all move the market. Any news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on changing market conditions.