TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 2:42 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 10 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 10 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can express that view by trading in this market, potentially leading to price divergence. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts, especially when information is incomplete or subjective.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more buyers for a particular outcome, the higher its price, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of the game's likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New York Yankees versus Tampa Bay Rays game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The final score and any relevant game statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their positions.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or weather forecasts could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player performance could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could indicate shifts in sentiment and influence the market’s direction. Monitoring these signals can help traders make more informed decisions regarding their positions in this market.