TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
polymarket

Who will win New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Volume:
$805,270

O/U 6.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 6.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 11:08 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$126,798
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$561
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$432
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$516,741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,908
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,984
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$791
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

New York Yankees O/U 2.5

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

New York Yankees O/U 3.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

New York Yankees O/U 1.5

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

New York Yankees O/U 4.5

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks whether the New York Yankees or the Tampa Bay Rays will win their upcoming MLB game on October 5th at 8:00PM ET, with a specific focus on the first 5 innings over/under 3.5 runs. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5”. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep a close watch on the game’s progress on October 5th, as the outcome will be determined by the final score of the match.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 5 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Yankees-Rays game market displays the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes has shifted over time, and gauge market interest through the volume of $799,941 traded in the last day. The total volume for this market is currently $805,269. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on the game's outcome, offering insight beyond traditional sources.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Therefore, discrepancies can arise based on public sentiment, expert analysis, and information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts regarding the Yankees-Rays game.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different outcomes. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the game’s potential results, driven by user activity and sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New York Yankees versus Tampa Bay Rays game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data source. The specific outcome that triggers resolution will align with the market’s defined options, reflecting whether the Yankees win, the Rays win, or another specified result occurs. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Yankees or the Rays would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in pitching matchups, weather forecasts affecting the game, or even significant shifts in team performance leading up to the game could all influence trader behavior. Unexpected news related to team morale or managerial decisions could also move the market, as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages for either team in the Yankees-Rays game.