TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 3 at 6:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 3 at 6:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially incorporating information not immediately factored into traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to odds that can diverge from, or converge with, those found at sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to breaking news or changes in perceived probabilities, potentially offering different value than traditional betting options. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the market price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the game’s potential results. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the probability of a specific result in the Yankees-Rays game, based on available information and their individual analyses.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New York Yankees versus Tampa Bay Rays game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or weather forecasts impacting game conditions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or managerial decisions could also lead to price adjustments. Furthermore, broader market sentiment and overall betting trends related to baseball can also play a role in influencing trading behavior and the price of shares in this market. Keep an eye on these developments as they unfold.