TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.9b

24H VOL:

$84,685,924

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,100,123

337,636

Markets across

33,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,273

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks who will win the MLB game between the New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 100.0%. Data is drawn from Predict, Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion, with resolution based on official final statistics recognized by Major League Baseball. Watch for the game scheduled for August 19 at 6:35 PM ET as the key catalyst for resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution framework tied to official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensus, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and extra innings.Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics of the event as recognized by Major League Baseball (MLB)

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to the team with the higher final score after regulation or extra innings
  • First inning run markets resolve based on whether any run is scored by either team in the first inning
  • Spread markets resolve based on the point differential at the end of regulation (ties favor the underdog)
  • Over/under markets resolve on the total combined runs scored by both teams
  • First 5 innings markets resolve based on the game state at the end of the fifth inning
  • Extra innings markets resolve if play begins in any inning beyond the scheduled nine innings

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is rescheduled and completed. Canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50
  • Tie after regulation: Winner markets resolve 50-50. Spread markets resolve to the underdog. Over/under markets resolve based on the total score at the end of regulation
Timing: Resolution occurs when official MLB statistics are published, typically within 24 hours after the game concludes, or when credible reporting consensus is reached for postponed/canceled gamesOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 19 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If New York Y and Baltimore go to extra innings in the New York Y vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 19 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-26 23:45 UTC: If the Baltimore Orioles win, the market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the St.Louis Cardinals win, the market will resolve to "St.Louis Cardinals". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Yankees vs. Orioles matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing how traders on different platforms price this contest. It displays total volume of $1,067,470 and 24-hour volume of $1,038,542, letting you see where interest is concentrated. The view also highlights the consensus direction from Polymarket and Predict, so you can gauge market sentiment as the game approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game record, and all platforms will update contracts at that point so holders know exactly where the market stood when the contest ended.