TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New York will win a professional basketball game against Chicago. Currently, the probability of New York winning on Kalshi is 99.0%, while Chicago winning is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the New York vs Chicago Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, as determined by the official score at the end of the match. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 28, 2026, as the result of that fixture will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the winner of the New York vs Chicago Pro Basketball game scheduled for October 28, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. The outcome is determined solely by which team wins the game as officially recorded.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the generally accepted result of the competition between New York and Chicago, as determined by official results and widely reported news sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market data once it has been officially verified, and any outstanding contracts will be settled accordingly.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements related to key players, changes in team performance, or unexpected events affecting the rivalry could all cause shifts in trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or public opinion polls could also influence the market. Any developments that alter perceptions of the relative strengths of New York and Chicago are likely to be reflected in the trading activity and price movements of this market.