TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Atlanta will win the women’s Pro Basketball game against New York by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Atlanta winning by over 1.5 points is 61.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the New York vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the final score and will be settled no later than the resolution date estimate of October 8, 2026.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the New York vs Atlanta women's professional basketball game scheduled for October 7, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point-spread threshold, with outcomes determined by whether Atlanta or New York exceeds the designated margin of victory. All markets remain open if the game is postponed or delayed, closing after the rescheduled match concludes—provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The operator explicitly disclaims any formal affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially indicating differing opinions on the likely result. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the New York vs Atlanta game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Essentially, the price indicates how much it costs to bet on a specific outcome, and changes in price signal shifts in expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the New York vs Atlanta game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the final result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process ensures a clear and objective determination of the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding games by either New York or Atlanta will also likely impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by individual trader decisions. Major announcements related to team dynamics or key player availability are particularly likely to cause movement.