TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will win the second half of a women's professional basketball game between New York and Atlanta. The outcome depends solely on the performance during the second half of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. If both teams finish the half with equal scores, the result is considered a tie.
If Atlanta is the winner of the second half (not including overtime) of regulation time in the New York vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New York is the winner of the second half (not including overtime) of regulation time in the New York vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the second half (not including overtime) of regulation time in the New York vs Atlanta women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately predict the likelihood of an event, and comparing them can offer valuable insights into differing perspectives on the game’s outcome. Keep in mind that sportsbooks also adjust their odds based on betting action.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at different price points, also provides insight into the strength of conviction behind each outcome. Essentially, traders are setting the odds through their buy and sell decisions, creating a dynamic and evolving price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the second half winner of the game between New York and Atlanta will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to view the final result and the payout of their contracts once the resolution is complete. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either New York or Atlanta would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, real-time game performance during the first half, such as a dominant scoring run by one team, could lead to adjustments in the odds. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, as traders react to new information and insights. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.