TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group covers various markets related to the New York Red Bulls vs. San Diego FC MLS game, including spread betting and over/under goals. Markets span different goal thresholds and timeframes (full game, first half).
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30 PM ET.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to a different threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold, the respective market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The governing rules emphasize that the count is strictly based on regular-time scoring, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated intellectual property.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides of a bet, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their view. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. Comparing the odds on this market to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd believes there's value, or where they disagree with professional oddsmakers.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market design. Polymarket attracts a different demographic of traders than Predict, leading to potentially different interpretations of the available information regarding the Red Bulls vs. San Diego FC match. Furthermore, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, Polymarket currently favors New York Red Bulls vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5 at 98 percent, while Predict leans toward Spread: New York Red Bulls (-3.5). These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Red Bulls or San Diego FC could significantly shift predictions. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, may also cause movement. Major tactical announcements from either team’s coach, or even significant shifts in public sentiment reflected in social media, could also impact trading activity and the overall probability assigned to different outcomes in this market.