TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:49 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between New York Red Bulls and San Diego FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming MLS game between New York Red Bulls and San Diego FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective insights of many traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, potentially driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of trading activity occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The halftime result – whether the New York Red Bulls are leading, San Diego FC are leading, or the game is a draw – will be determined by the official score at the midpoint of the match. The official result will be used to determine which shares payout, and at what rate, based on the final price of each outcome on Polymarket at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Red Bulls or San Diego FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert predictions, can influence trader behavior on Polymarket and cause the price of shares to fluctuate. Major tactical decisions announced before kickoff could also be a catalyst.