TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:48 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between New York Red Bulls and San Diego FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the New York Red Bulls vs. San Diego FC match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between New York Red Bulls and San Diego FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the New York Red Bulls vs. San Diego FC match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome, leading to a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. It’s common to see this market reflect probabilities that diverge from initial sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges and more traders participate. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting based on the collective intelligence of the prediction market.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Red Bulls vs. San Diego FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the league or governing body. The market will determine which exact score was the correct outcome of the game, and shares in that outcome will pay out based on the market's pricing at resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the final settlement.
Several factors could significantly shift the probabilities in this market before Oct 10, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Red Bulls or San Diego FC would likely cause a reassessment of the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the game's outcome and, consequently, the market. Furthermore, any significant news regarding team form, tactical changes, or even pre-game interviews from coaches or players could impact trader sentiment and lead to price movements in this market.