TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami CF, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Red Bulls" if New York Red Bulls are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Inter Miami CF" if Inter Miami CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami CF, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Red Bulls" if New York Red Bulls are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Inter Miami CF" if Inter Miami CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. However, there can be initial discrepancies. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract balanced betting action, whereas this market’s price is purely driven by supply and demand. It’s common to see the prediction market odds converge towards the true probability as more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, indicating a growing expectation that they will score first. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders involved.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami CF match. Any goals scored during regular play, stoppage time, or extra time will be considered, but penalty shootouts will not factor into the determination. The result will be sourced from official match data and widely available sports news outlets to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Red Bulls or Inter Miami CF would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather forecasts, particularly if adverse conditions are predicted, might play a role. Finally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts suggesting a change in expected performance could move the market as traders adjust their positions.