TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between New York RB and Toronto. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the game is considered high-scoring or not based on that specific benchmark.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the New York RB versus Toronto professional MLS soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout periods are excluded from goal counts for resolution purposes. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: if the cumulative goals exceed the respective threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5), that particular market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the MLS or its associated entities, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If there is a significant difference, it could indicate disagreement between the public and professional bettors, or that the market has identified information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the New York RB vs Toronto match. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time view of market expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading contracts at favorable prices.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the New York RB vs Toronto match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league and verified against trusted sports data sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The precise details of payout are determined by the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the New York RB or Toronto would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also be a catalyst. Additionally, late-breaking news about team tactics or formations, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all impact the price of contracts in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for informed trading.