TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:38 PM EST
Kalshi
For the New York RB versus Toronto MLS game set for October 17, 2026, this event depends on whether each team scores at least one goal within the 90 minutes of play and any subsequent stoppage time. The resolution is based solely on goals scored during regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
If New York RB and Toronto both score a goal in the New York RB vs Toronto MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the prediction market price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of trading occurs, as the market discovers and reflects information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe both teams will score, the higher the price of the 'Yes' contract will climb, and vice versa for the 'No' contract. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the New York RB and Toronto score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added time. Official sources will be used to determine the final scoreline and confirm if both teams found the back of the net, establishing the result for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the New York RB or Toronto would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sources suggesting a strong offensive performance from either team could sway traders’ opinions and affect the price of this market.