TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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New York RB vs Toronto
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What is the result of New York RB vs Toronto?

Volume:
$506,700

Toronto

 - Kalshi

Toronto - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 9:38 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toronto

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$221,086
N/A
N/A
$91,999
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York RB

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188,249
N/A
N/A
$115,898
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97,365
N/A
N/A
$51,646
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market tracks the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between New York RB and Toronto. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The market covers all possible results: a win for either team or a tie.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the New York RB vs Toronto professional MLS soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If New York RB wins, the 'New York RB' market resolves to Yes. If Toronto wins, the 'Toronto' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the New York RB vs Toronto match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the perceived probability of different outcomes changes over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $506,700, with $471,991 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd stands on the likely result of the match, and how that view is evolving as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price differences between the two types of markets. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the level of agreement among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New York RB vs Toronto match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will be the final result of the game – whether New York RB wins, Toronto wins, or the match ends in a draw. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either New York RB or Toronto would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a previous match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted for the match location, could play a role. Any major development related to the teams or the match itself has the potential to move this market before Oct 18, 2026.