TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between New York RB and Toronto. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The market covers all possible results: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the New York RB vs Toronto professional MLS soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If New York RB wins, the 'New York RB' market resolves to Yes. If Toronto wins, the 'Toronto' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price differences between the two types of markets. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the level of agreement among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New York RB vs Toronto match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will be the final result of the game – whether New York RB wins, Toronto wins, or the match ends in a draw. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either New York RB or Toronto would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a previous match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted for the match location, could play a role. Any major development related to the teams or the match itself has the potential to move this market before Oct 18, 2026.