TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming professional MLS soccer match between New York RB and San Diego FC. Participants can speculate on which team will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the game ends with both teams level, a specific outcome reflects that result.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the New York RB vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A win for New York RB resolves the 'New York RB' market to Yes; a win for San Diego FC resolves the 'San Diego FC' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and stoppage time, with no account for extended play or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, potentially identifying value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the New York RB vs San Diego FC match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New York RB vs San Diego FC match, as determined by the league and reported by major sports news outlets. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the New York RB or San Diego FC would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any news regarding weather conditions at the match venue or changes to the refereeing crew could introduce uncertainty and volatility. Major announcements related to team strategy or player availability are also likely catalysts.