TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New York RB will win their professional MLS soccer game against Miami. Currently, Kalshi gives New York RB a 54.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 26.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve to Yes or No depending on the final score after regulation and stoppage time on October 25, 2026 – the estimated resolution date.
The event resolves based on the result of the New York RB vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If New York RB wins, the 'New York RB' market resolves to Yes. If Miami wins, the 'Miami' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliation, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. If you observe a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could signal an opportunity for informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the New York RB vs Miami match. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome happens.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the New York RB vs Miami match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could all have a significant impact. Furthermore, updates on team performance in recent matches, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment expressed through social media could sway traders’ opinions. Major announcements related to the game, such as changes in venue or kickoff time, would also likely cause movement in this market.