TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.8b

24H VOL:

$65,919,658

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,351,118,393

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,114,324,756

312,055

Markets across

30,503

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,322

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox
Sports
polymarket
kalshi
predict
opinion

Who will win New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox?

Total volume:
$3,511,072
Volume 24h:
$3,429,330
97,782%
Liquidity:
$5,866
89%
Open interest:
$1,737,840
56,994%

New York M

all

4 markets

Kalshi

100%

Predict

1%

Polymarket

0%

Opinion

0%

consensus

25.3%

-37.1%

spread

0-100%

(100pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

0%20%40%60%80%

Aug 17

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Vol.

$1.8m

·

Resolves Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 10:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether the total runs scored in the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 23, 2026, will be over or under 1.5 runs. The aggregated consensus probability for the 'Over' outcome stands at 99.9% across Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict, and Opinion. Resolution is determined by the official game result from MLB.com. Watch the game on August 23, 2026, as this will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core logic: official MLB.com results determine winners, ties/cancellations split payouts, and first-inning runs use official inning data.Primary resolution logic: https://www.mlb.com/

Core resolution logic:

  • If the Mets win, all win markets resolve to New York Mets
  • If the White Sox win, all win markets resolve to Chicago White Sox
  • If the game ends in a tie or is canceled with no makeup, markets resolve 50-50
  • First-inning run markets resolve based on official first-inning statistics

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the makeup game is completed
  • No Official Statistics: Credible reporting may be used if MLB.com fails to publish within 24 hours
Timing: Resolution occurs after official MLB.com publication of final game statistics, with 24-hour grace period for source verificationOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 23 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the professional baseball game between New York M and Chicago WS originally scheduled for August 22, 2026, at 7:10 PM EDT. If New York M wins the game, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Chicago WS's market resolves to No. Conversely, if Chicago WS wins, its market resolves to Yes, and New York M's market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed or delayed but rescheduled to occur within two days of the original date, the market remains open until the conclusion of the rescheduled game. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring that participants are compensated equitably based on the circumstances surrounding the change.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 23 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-23 18:10 UTC: If the New York Mets win, the market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the Chicago White Sox win, the market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game outcome, and once that information is widely reported, the market will close and pay out according to the positions traders held before resolution.

Injuries, weather updates, and pitcher performance are key signals that could shift this market before Aug 30, 2026. A sudden change in the starting rotation or a critical player being ruled out may cause rapid re-pricing. Likewise, broader factors like playoff implications or recent head-to-head results can sway trader sentiment, especially as the game draws closer and new information emerges.