TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which team—the New York Liberty or the Atlanta Dream—will have the higher moneyline in the 4th quarter of their upcoming WNBA game. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: 4Q Moneyline. The resolution source for this market is the official WNBA website, https://www.wnba.com/. Keep an eye on the game scheduled for October 7 at 12:00AM ET, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of that fixture, determining which team ultimately wins the game.
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for October 7 at 12:00AM ET: If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, leading to odds that can diverge from those found at sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights that aren't immediately factored into sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to the game. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the New York Liberty versus Atlanta Dream game. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of a particular outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the New York Liberty versus Atlanta Dream game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and the subsequent resolution of this market on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the game is played. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant shifts in team performance could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or even weather conditions impacting the game could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket itself can create price fluctuations, especially if they indicate a strong shift in market sentiment regarding either the New York Liberty or the Atlanta Dream.