TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:11 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC: If the New York Knicks win, the market will resolve to "New York Knicks". If the Toronto Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC: If the New York Knicks win, the market will resolve to "New York Knicks". If the Toronto Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of users on Opinion. As a result, the implied probabilities from this market can sometimes be more accurate, especially when considering the 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Knicks-Raptors game.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Knicks-Raptors game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more people believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a constantly updated assessment of the game’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New York Knicks versus Toronto Raptors game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will then determine which outcome—a win for either team—was accurately predicted by the highest volume of traders on Opinion. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process based on the actual game result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Knicks or the Raptors would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Major coaching changes, unexpected lineup adjustments, or even significant changes in team performance leading up to the game could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment, reflected in sports news and analysis, can also contribute to price movements, as traders react to evolving perceptions of each team’s chances in the Knicks-Raptors game.