TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on whether specific players or teams will score at least one touchdown during an upcoming football game between the New York Jets and New England Patriots. Each market tracks individual performances, including offensive players and defensive units, to determine outcomes based on scoring achievements.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a specified player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half, including overtime, the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff unless the player records the required touchdowns. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics, irrespective of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an at-least payout criterion, and the event considers the full game including overtime. Passing touchdowns do not count toward the passer's total, and team defense/special-teams selections settle on actual touchdowns without the player participation exception applying to them.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of events. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it might signal an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own analysis of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the number of touchdowns scored. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the New York J vs New England game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result. Keep an eye on the Kalshi dashboard for official resolution updates.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New York J or New England teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact the perceived likelihood of touchdowns. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also shift the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, potentially moving prices in either direction.