TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds being surpassed. The outcomes depend solely on the final point totals for New York J and New England in their match.
The markets resolve based on whether New England or New York J scores above specified point thresholds in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold for each team; if the team's final score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. The governing league's official scoring will determine outcomes, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league. All trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges. Sportsbook odds are often set by experts, whereas this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly when public opinion diverges from expert analysis, or when there is significant uncertainty surrounding the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final team total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team total, as officially recorded by the relevant sports league, will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on the combined score achieved by New York and New England in the specified game. Any official adjustments or revisions to the score after the game will be considered in the resolution process. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the event's conclusion.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the resolution date. Key player injuries or suspensions for either New York or New England would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's scoring environment, could also shift prices. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might also affect trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the expected team total could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.