TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many field goals each team scores in a specific football game. Bettors can predict whether a team will achieve a certain number of field goals, offering different thresholds for each team. The outcomes depend solely on the official game statistics.
All markets resolve based on the total number of field goals scored by either New York J or New England in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team reaches or exceeds the stated threshold of field goals. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution hinges strictly on official game statistics, with no external factors influencing the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. While sportsbooks may initially set a line, the prediction market price will evolve as more information becomes available and traders adjust their positions, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the game and the total field goals scored.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total number of field goals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders believe is the most likely scenario for the number of field goals in this specific NFL matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of field goals scored in the New York J versus New England game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual number of field goals scored will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New York J or New England teams, particularly the kickers or players impacting field goal range, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, such as strong winds or rain, could also affect the likelihood of successful field goal attempts. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding the teams' offensive strategies or special teams performance could prompt traders to adjust their positions, leading to price movements in this market.