TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether New England will win their game against New York J by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of New England winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 98.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the New York J vs New England Pro Football game, with resolution details found in the provided resolution source. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for October 18, 2026, as the final score will determine whether New England exceeds the necessary point differential for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between New York J and New England in their Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If New England wins by exceeding the specified point margin listed in any market, that market resolves to Yes; if New York J wins by exceeding its respective margin, that market also resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their threshold, all markets resolve to No. The markets cover a range of margins from over 1.5 points up to over 27.5 points for New England victories, and symmetrically from over 1.5 to over 27.5 points for New York J victories. All secondary rules consistently state that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to express their own beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting patterns, the prediction market continuously updates based on every trade made on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own analysis and expectations, and the market price reflects the collective sentiment. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving probabilities of New York J covering the spread against New England.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the New York J versus New England game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, determining whether New York J covered the spread as defined by the market contract. The final score and point differential will be the determining factor, and the market will settle accordingly once this information is publicly available and verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either New York J or New England would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions affecting the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team might also impact trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public statements or analysis from sports commentators could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.