TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
In an upcoming football game, Rhamondre Stevenson aims to accumulate over 100 combined rushing and receiving yards. His performance will be closely watched as fans and analysts predict whether he can surpass this benchmark in a crucial matchup.
The markets resolve based on whether Rhamondre Stevenson records specific thresholds of combined rushing and receiving yards (100+, 125+, or 150+) in the designated game. If Stevenson is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once he takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on the combined yards recorded. The markets are independent and resolve solely on the specified yardage thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective insights of many traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, providing insight into the strength of conviction among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and forecast the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yardage totals for the players involved in the New York J vs New England game will be used to determine the winning contract. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for verification. Traders will be able to see the final results reflected in their account balances shortly after the official data is released. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing or running, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced during the week leading up to the game could also play a role. Furthermore, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could prompt traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.