TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:18 PM EST
Kalshi
Rhamondre Stevenson’s performance will be scrutinized for his receiving yards in an upcoming football game between New York J and New England. The focus is on whether he meets various yardage thresholds, which will determine the outcome of several betting contracts.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if Stevenson participates in at least one play during the first half but none after, including overtime, the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless he meets the specified receiving yards threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event uses full game receiving yards including overtime.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, you may see the prices on Kalshi converge or diverge from sportsbook odds depending on how that information is interpreted by market participants. It’s common to observe discrepancies, especially early in the trading period.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The higher the price of a contract, the more likely the market believes that particular receiving yard total will be achieved. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities for the New York J vs New England game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yard totals from the New York J vs New England game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage for each player will be sourced from official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether the contracts predicted the correct total. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The exact payout will depend on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or quarterbacks on either the New York J or New England teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence trading activity, as these conditions typically affect passing games. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or player matchups could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could impact the collective assessment of probabilities on Kalshi.